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Federal Investment in Cyber Security to Reach $13.3 Billion by 2015

By Jeff Goldman on 2010-12-29


A recent INPUT report, “Federal Information Security Market, 2010-2015,” predicts that federal investment in information security will rise from $8.6 billion in 2010 to $13.3 billion by 2015 at a compound annual growth rate of 9.1 percent, nearly twice the rate of overall federal IT spending. “There is a general consensus that the government has a lot of work to do to address weaknesses in its cyber security,” says INPUT principal analyst John Slye. “Over the last year, federal agencies have seen a 78 percent growth in cyber incidents. This demand for increased information security is greater than any other current technology, leaving it more immune to the recent federal budget cuts.” Key drivers for the expected increase in investment in information security include a 445 percent increase in cyber security incidents since 2006, a shortage of qualified security professionals, and an increasingly complex and interconnected technology environment. “While agencies continue to make incremental progress toward secure infrastructures, a lack of leadership, ambiguous roles, technical challenge, and workforce shortages inhibit the federal government from developing and implementing a cohesive, well-formed national cyber security strategy,” says INPUT principal analyst Angie Petty. “This creates a large opportunity for vendors to bring their combined agency knowledge and operational security expertise to the market.”

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Segmenting the Federal IT MarketINPUT offers market size and growth estimates for the three major federal IT market segments: Civilian, Defense, and Intelligence.

CivilianINPUT expects the Civilian segment to grow from $2.6 billion in 2010 to $3.8 billion in 2015, at a compound annual growth rate of 8.1 percent.

DefenseINPUT expects the Defense segment to grow from $4.0 billion in 2010 to $6.3 billion in 2015, at a compound annual growth rate of 9.3 percent.

IntelligenceINPUT expects the Intelligence segment to grow from $2.0 billion in 2010 to $3.2 billion in 2015, at a compound annual growth rate of 9.9 percent.

Professional ServicesINPUT anticipates that the federal market for information security professional services will grow from $4.8 billion in 2010 to $7.5 billion in 2015, at a compound annual growth rate of 9.2 percent.

Software ProductsINPUT predicts that the federal market for information security software will grow from $2.9 billion in 2010 to $4.5 billion in 2015, at a compound annual growth rate of 9.2 percent.

EquipmentINPUT expects that the federal market for cyber security hardware will grow from $0.9 billion in 2010 to $1.4 billion in 2015, at a compound annual growth rate of 8.1 percent.

Security OperationsINPUT anticipates that the security operations segment of the federal IT security market will grow from $6.286 billion in 2010 to $10.051 billion in 2015, at a compound annual growth rate of 9.8 percent. (The security operations market segment includes vulnerability management technologies, firewalls, anti-malware and anti-spam applications, incident management and response technologies, communications security, managed security services, network security monitoring technologies, and associated professional services required for implementation and management.)

Planning, Policy, and Program ManagementINPUT predicts that the planning, policy and program management market segment will grow from $806 million in 2010 to $1.104 billion in 2015, at a compound annual growth rate of 6.5 percent. (The planning, policy and program management segment includes security architecture and design, future planning, and policy development and monitoring.)

ComplianceINPUT expects that the compliance market segment will grow from $631 million in 2010 to $882 million in 2015, at a compound annual growth rate of 6.9 percent. (The compliance segment includes certification and accreditation, inventory management, Plan of Action and Milestones (POA&M), and risk management services.)

Identity and Access ManagementINPUT predicts that the identity and access management market segment will grow from $515 million in 2010 to $769 million in 2015, at a compound annual growth rate of 8.3 percent. (The identity and access management segment is includes technologies such as biometrics, Public Key Infrastructure (PKI), smart cards, tokens, and authentication and authorization technologies.)

Training, Education and AwarenessINPUT anticipates that the training, education and awareness market segment will grow from $208 million in 2010 to $294 million in 2015, at a compound annual growth rate of 7.2 percent. (The training, education and awareness segment includes the services and technologies used to provide educational services, awareness programs, and training specific to IT security.)

Infrastructure SecurityINPUT predicts that the infrastructure security market segment will grow from $147 million in 2010 to $181 million in 2015, at a compound annual growth rate of 4.2 percent. (The infrastructure security market segment includes the technologies and services associated with planning and implementing critical infrastructure protection, disaster recovery, and continuity of operations planning.)

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