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Gartner IT Outlook 2014: Focus on Information Intelligence

By Dennis McCafferty on 2010-10-22


While worldwide enterprise IT spending will grow over the next several years, the “happy times” of the pre-recession era won't return anytime soon. Instead, Gartner Inc. is projecting a slow-growth period that may very well last into the year 2014. Even so, the research firm predicts that some areas of IT that will see considerable investment in that period. The use of cloud computing, social media as business tools and what's called “context-aware computing” will all be areas of increased focus during this period, Gartner predicts. And CIOs who succeed will understand that it's the consumer who will drive technology – versus technology driving the consumer. This dynamic should be a game-definer for decades, as opposed to the next couple years. "At the heart of the change, the next 20 years will be intelligence drawn from information," says Peter Sondergaard, senior vice president at Gartner and global head of research. "Information will be the 'oil of the 21st century.' It will be the resource running our economy in ways not possible in the past." Gartner's presentations on tech trends are available via Webcast here. These are highlights from the IT spending forecast:

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$2.5 trillion in worldwide enterprise IT spending is forecast for 2011, up from $2.4 trillion this year.

$2.8 trillion in worldwide enterprise IT spending is projected for 2014, signaling “timid and at times lackluster growth,” according to Gartner.

Where are the biggest growth-drivers?They're in emerging economies. These will be the "locomotive" of enterprise IT spending, substantially outpacing developed economies.

Which industry sectors will be down? Which industry sectors will be down?Manufacturing and financial services, which will not see IT budgets recover to pre-2008 levels before 2012 or 2013, Gartner forecasts.

The “Intelligence Society” This will prove transformative. The consumer, not the enterprise, will drive the quest for increased access to data to make intelligent decisions.

Four trends that will support change in IT:Four trends that will support change in IT: 1. Cloud computing.It will continue to change the relationship between those who use IT services and those who sell them.

Four trends that will support change in IT: 2. The business impact of social computing.Social sites will pervade the enterprise and blur boundaries between personal and professional activities, unleashing productivity growth.

Four trends that will support change in IT: 3. Context-aware computing.Software, services will blend data with context such as location, desires, feelings to determine patterns of consumer behavior.

Four trends that will support change in IT: 4. Pattern-based strategy.This will allow CIOs and other IT leaders to discover patterns amidst burgeoning information sources, and model future initiatives based upon them.

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