Tablet Shipments to Surpass Laptops by 2016, NPD Predicts

By CIOinsight  |  Posted 07-05-2012 Print Email
Led by the Apple iPad, tablets are expected to be a bright spot of the PC market, with shipments exceeding those of laptops by 2016.

Shipments of tablets such as the Apple iPad are on track to surpass shipments of laptops by 2016, NPD reported July 3. By 2017, the firm expects PC shipments to have grown from 347 million units in 2012 to 809 million units, laptop shipments to have increased from 208 million to 293 million units, and tablets to have jumped from 121 million units to 416 million units, representing an annual growth rate of 28 percent.

NPD Senior Analyst Richard Shim believes consumer preference for mobile computing devices is shifting from notebook to tablet PCs, and new entrants are tending to launch their tablets in mature markets--such as the United States, Japan and Europe where consumer response is the strongest.

Services and infrastructure needed to create compelling new usage models are often better established in mature markets, Shim added.

Google is the newest entrant to the tablet party. On June 27 it introduced the Nexus 7, a 7-inch tablet running, Jelly Bean, a brand-new version of its Android operating system. While it was expected that Google would take aim at the Apple iPad--which during the first quarter of 2012 grabbed a 68 percent slice of the market, according to figures by IDC--the Nexus 7, with its starting price of $199, poses a far greater threat to the Amazon Kindle Fire.

Amazon introduced the Fire in November 2011, and the tablet sold shockingly well, enabling Amazon to jump ahead of Samsung and its Galaxy Tab. During the first quarter of 2012, however, it was unable to sustain its momentum, and Amazon's market share fell to just over 4 percent, from nearly 17 percent the quarter before.

Joining the fray later this year will be tablets running Microsoft s Windows 8. On June 18, Microsoft stepped out ahead of its hardware partners and roiled up the first real excitement for these devices, with the introduction of its own tablet. The Surface, say analysts, represents Microsoft's understanding of Apple's tremendous share of the tablet market and its decision to take the matter of more effectively competing with Apple into its own hands.



 

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