Business Confidence Lags But Growth Expected to Resume in 2011By CIOinsight | Posted 04-18-2011
Unexpected shocks that roiled global markets also took their toll in the latest CompTIA IT Industry Business Confidence Index, but IT industry executives still expect business conditions to improve and sales growth to resume in 2011.
The index, based on a 100-point scale, fell by 5.1 points in the second quarter to 54.9. The results were derived from an online survey fielded to IT industry executives and professionals in late March 2011; 395 IT companies participated.
IT industry confidence was shaken by the same events that affected other segments of the economy--natural disasters in Japan; unrest in the Middle East; and rising prices in a number of areas, especially oil prices.
Looking ahead, IT industry executives expect the recent bout of uncertainty to abate and sales growth to resume. The index is projected to increase 5.2 percentage points over the next two quarters, making up the ground lost in the Q2 reading. Despite the Q2 dip, the report found IT industry sentiment is still on solid footing: The latest reading exceeds confidence levels for most of 2010.
"Confidence levels about the industry as a whole, and about individual companies, continue to reflect optimism in a strengthening economy," said Tim Herbert, vice president of research at CompTIA. "The net positive for the industry now stands at 62 percent, and for individual companies at 64 percent. Not long ago, both figures were closer to 50 percent."
Herbert said another positive sign is that hiring intent continues to move upward, increasing 2 percentage points to a Q2 rating of 42 percent.
"Hiring is a good indicator of confidence and positive economic momentum," Herbert said. "Only firms with solid business prospects are willing and able to expand their headcount."
The index is based on three metrics: opinions of the U.S. economy, the IT industry and one's company. While the economy component of the Index continues to drag on the overall reading, that trend may be turning around, according to Herbert. "The gap between the performance of the overall economy and IT industry appears to be closing slightly, which should be viewed positively by IT industry executives," he said.
For more, read the eWEEK article: Business Confidence Index Falls But Indicators Positive for 2011: Report.