Trends Slideshow: Gartner's Top IT Predictions for 2011-2015

By Jeff Goldman  |  Posted 01-12-2011

Gartner's Top IT Predictions for 2011-2015

Critical Infrastructure Gartner predicts that a multimodal online attack, targeting multiple systems for maximum impact (financial systems, physical plants, mobile communications, etc.), will disrupt and damage a G20 nation's critical infrastructure by 2015.

Gartner's Top IT Predictions for 2011-2015

Gartner's Top IT Predictions for 2011-2015 - Page 2

CIO Compensation ModelsBy 2015, Gartner predicts, expectations for realizing revenue from IT initiatives will become so common that the amount of new revenue generated will become the primary factor in determining the incentive portion of annual pay for Global 2000 CIOs.

Gartner's Top IT Predictions for 2011-2015 - Page 2

Gartner's Top IT Predictions for 2011-2015 - Page 3

IT Spending Gartner expects that by 2015, consolidation, optimization and cost transparency programs, along with staff reduction and freezes, will provide leading companies with at least a 60 percent increase in the metric for "IT spending per enterprise employee," when compared against the metrics of peer organizations and internal trading metrics.

Gartner's Top IT Predictions for 2011-2015 - Page 3

Gartner's Top IT Predictions for 2011-2015 - Page 4

Tools and Automation By 2015, Gartner anticipates that cloud computing will hasten the use of tools and automation in IT services, resulting in a marked increase in productivity levels for service providers and a reduction in their costs of delivery. These tools and automation solutions are expected to eliminate 25 percent of IT labor hours.

Gartner's Top IT Predictions for 2011-2015 - Page 4

Gartner's Top IT Predictions for 2011-2015 - Page 5

Cloud CompetitionAs non-IT organizations increasingly externalize core competencies via cloud computing, Gartner predicts that by 2015, they will be interjecting themselves into value chain systems and competing directly with IT organizations. Gartner predicts that 20 percent of non-IT Global 500 enterprises will become cloud service providers during this period.

Gartner's Top IT Predictions for 2011-2015 - Page 5

Gartner's Top IT Predictions for 2011-2015 - Page 6

Employee-Liable DevicesBy 2014, Gartner expects it will be commonplace for organizations to support corporate applications on employee-owned notebooks and smartphones. The main driver for this will be the employees, who prefer to use their own mobile devices for business.

Gartner's Top IT Predictions for 2011-2015 - Page 6

Gartner's Top IT Predictions for 2011-2015 - Page 7

Tablet Ubiquity80 percent of businesses will support a workforce using tablets by 2013. Gartner anticipates this "huge wave" of tablet devices will result in varying support requirements across and within enterprises, depending on usage scenario. At minimum, enterprises will have to offer appliance-level support, as well as helpdesk support for connectivity issues.

Gartner's Top IT Predictions for 2011-2015 - Page 7

Gartner's Top IT Predictions for 2011-2015 - Page 8

The Rise of Social Bots10 percent of online ‘Friends' will be non-human by 2015. Gartner predicts that organizations' increasing systematization of social media strategies will result in the rise of social bots - automated software agents designed to handle interaction with communities of users in a manner personalized to each individual.

Gartner's Top IT Predictions for 2011-2015 - Page 8