Windows Slideshow: PC Sales Forecast: Will Windows 8 End the Slump?

By Don Reisinger  |  Posted 09-06-2012

367.2 million

A total of 367.2 million PCs are predicted to ship worldwide this year, according to IDC, representing a meager 0.9 percent growth over 2011.

367.2 million

153 million

According to IDC, global desktop computer shipments will decline this year to 153 million, from 154.8 million units in 2011.

153 million

209.1 million

Luckily for PC makers, global portable PC shipments will rise in 2012 to 214.2 million, from 209.1 million in 2011.

209.1 million

Mature Markets

The decline in PC growth rates is due to an expected drop in shipments to mature markets this year to 153.3 million from 155.1 million in 2011, according to IDC.

Mature Markets

Emerging Markets

In emerging markets, however, IDC says total PC shipments will rise to 213.9 million this year from 208.8 million in 2011.

Emerging Markets

Life Through 2016

Despite the recent slump, IDC is predicting that total annual PC shipments worldwide will reach to 483.1 million in 2016.

Life Through 2016

Why the Slump?

So, what's driving the near-term slump? Tablets are certainly not helping matters, as companies and consumers decide to dedicate more of their cash to slates than traditional PCs.

Why the Slump?

Emerging Markets

Interestingly, emerging markets will extend their shipment lead by 2016, jumping to 303.5 million PC shipments, compared to 179.6 million in mature markets.

Emerging Markets

Windows 8

In addition, Windows 8 might be causing a problem. According to IDC, "the U.S. market will remain depressed until Windows 8 products hit store shelves in the fourth quarter of 2012."

Windows 8

Desktop Plateau

One other note from the IDC study: Desktops appear to be hitting a plateau. Global shipments will only reach 162 million by the end of 2016.

Desktop Plateau