Mobile Data Traffic to Increase Elevenfold by 2018

 
 
By Karen A. Frenkel  |  Posted 03-10-2014 Email Print this article Print
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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    Key Mobile Data Traffic Drivers
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    Key Mobile Data Traffic Drivers

    According to the Cisco report, global mobile traffic growth will outpace global fixed traffic growth by a factor of three between 2013 and 2018.
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    More Mobile Users and Connections
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    More Mobile Users and Connections

    By 2018, Cisco forecasts 4.9 billion mobile users, up from 4.1 billion in 2013. There will also be more than 10 billion mobile-ready devices and connections, including 8 billion personal mobile devices and 2 billion machine-to-machine connections.
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    Global Mobile Speeds to Double
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    Global Mobile Speeds to Double

    Average mobile network speeds will nearly double, from 1.4 Mbps in 2013 to 2.5 Mbps by 2018.
  • Previous
    Mobile Video Will Continue to Rise
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    Mobile Video Will Continue to Rise

    Mobile video will account for 69% of global mobile data traffic by 2018, up from 53% in 2013.
  • Previous
    Shift to Smart Devices and Smart Connections
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    Shift to Smart Devices and Smart Connections

    According to the report, 54% of mobile connections will be "smart" by 2018, up from 21%. (Smart connections have a minimum of 3G.)
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    Smartphones, Laptops, Tablets to Drive Mobile Data Traffic
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    Smartphones, Laptops, Tablets to Drive Mobile Data Traffic

    Smartphones, laptops and tablets will drive 94% of global mobile data traffic by 2018. Machine-to-machine traffic will represent 5%, while basic handsets will account for 1%. Other portables will account for a mere 0.1%.
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    Mobile Cloud Traffic to Grow Immensely
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    Mobile Cloud Traffic to Grow Immensely

    Mobile cloud traffic will grow at a 64% compound annual growth rate, a twelvefold increase from 2013 to 2018.
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    The Impact of Machine-to-Machine
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    The Impact of Machine-to-Machine

    Machine-to-machine applications enable wireless and wired systems to communicate with similar devices so that they support GPS, asset tracking, utility meters, security and surveillance video. In 2013, 5% of machine-to-machine apps generated over 1% of total mobile data traffic.
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    Average Mobile Connection To Double
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    Average Mobile Connection To Double

    From 2013 to 2018, average mobile connection speeds will double. Average mobile connection speeds and average smartphone connection speeds will increase by compound annual growth rates of 13% and 12%, respectively.
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    4G Traffic Will Grow Eighteenfold by 2018
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    4G Traffic Will Grow Eighteenfold by 2018

    4G's eighteenfold increase represents a 78% compound annual growth rate. By 2018, 4G connections will support 15% of all connections, up from 3% in 2013.
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    Wi-Fi Offload Traffic to Surpass Cellular Traffic
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    Wi-Fi Offload Traffic to Surpass Cellular Traffic

    By 2018, 52% of global mobile traffic will be offloaded onto Wi-Fi and small cell networks, up from 45% in 2013.
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    Mobile Video Traffic Will Increase Fourteenfold
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    Mobile Video Traffic Will Increase Fourteenfold

    From 2013 to 2018, mobile video traffic will have the highest growth rate of any mobile application. It will be 69% of total global mobile traffic by 2018, up from 53% in 2013.
 

Worldwide mobile data traffic will increase by almost a factor of 11 during the next four years, according to the "Cisco Visual Networking Index: Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast Update, 2013-2018" report. It is forecast to reach an annual run rate of 190 exabytes (EBs) by 2018, 57 times the total amount of mobile data traffic in 2010. The projected increase is due in part to growth in the number of mobile Internet connections for personal devices and machine-to-machine communication. The projected run rate would be more than all IP traffic, fixed and mobile, generated in 2000. "Such growth is not only indicative of mobility becoming a critical characteristic of almost every network experience in the value that customers and businesses alike place on it," says Cisco Vice President Doug Webster, "but it also represents the immense opportunities ahead for service providers who sit at the center of the Internet of Everything." Traffic added monthly between 2017 and 2018 is expected to be 5.1 EB, more than three times the estimated size of the entire mobile Internet in 2013, which was 1.5 EB per month. To read the complete report, click here

 
 
 
 
 
Karen A. Frenkel writes about technology and innovation and lives in New York City.

 
 
 
 
 
 

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